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The Real Russia. Today. 100 days of Russia’s all-out war, how sanctions reshape the world, and the first ‘fake news’ conviction: Published: Friday, June 3, 2022

In today’s newsletter:

• The latest news
• Military expert Mykhailo Samus on 100 days of Russia’s all-out war
• New podcast episode: How sanctions against Russia reshape the world
• Europe’s watered-down oil embargo, explained
• Meduza meets the first man convicted of spreading “fake news” about Russia’s war

Major recent events in Russia and Ukraine

• 🏴‍☠️ Mariupol cargo arrives in Russia: The first cargo ship from Mariupol has arrived in Rostov-on-Don, where ports have been reopened, according to Interfax. The ship, which reportedly brought 2,700 metric tons of metal from the Ukrainian port city, is the first to depart from Mariupol since Russia invaded the city.
• 🎁 A longtime Russian journalist gets a new home: Russian-born journalist Alexander Nevzorov and his wife, Lidia, have become Ukrainian citizens. According to Anton Herashchenko, advisor to the head of the Ukrainian Interior Ministry, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed an order granting them citizenship “for their outstanding service to the country.” In March, a criminal case was opened against Nevzorov in Russia after he shared photos of civilian victims of Russian shelling in Mariupol.
• 🆘 Between a rock and a hard place: Chinese President Xi Jinping has instructed his advisors to find ways to help Russia without violating Western sanctions, according to the Washington Post. Russia has reportedly asked China for financial and technological help multiple times since the war began, and China, trying to manage contradictory goals, has responded by showing diplomatic support and conducting joint military exercises with Russia (but officially remaining neutral).
• 🪖 Closing in on Luhansk: The British Defense Ministry predicts that Russia will take complete control of the Luhansk region in the next two weeks. Russian troops have already captured over 90 percent of the region’s territory.
• 🌾 Strange bedfellows: Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and UN General Secretary António Guterres spoke on the phone about the “issue of grain exports from Ukrainian territory.” According to the Telegram channel Pul Pervogo, Lukashenko said Belarus is prepared to transport Ukrainian grain to Baltic ports over its own territory. In return, Lukashenko would require access to Baltic ports for Belarusian products.
• 📺 Trouble in Krasnoyarsk: Vadim Vostrov, the executive producer for the TV network TVK Krasnoyarsk, has been fined 40,000 rubles ($431) for quoting an article from Meduza on his Telegram channel. The article, which was written by journalist Shura Burtin, was an investigation of why Russians support the war in Ukraine. Vostrov was charged with “discrediting” the Russian army.
• 🖥️ Yandex founder resigns: Yandex announced that founder Arkady Volozh will resign as the Internet giant’s general director after he was sanctioned by the EU as part of its sixth package of restrictions against Russia. He will also resign from his leadership positions at all of Yandex’s subsidiaries. Yandex’s share price fell over 10 percent in the wake of the news.
• 🇪🇺 Europe’s blacklist grows: In addition to Arkady Volozh, the EU’s latest sanctions list included over 60 individuals, including Russian censorship agency head Andrey Lipov, National Media Group chairwoman (and Putin’s alleged mistress) Alina Kabaeva, and Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov’s daughter, Elizaveta Peskova, as well as his wife, Tatyana Navka. The list also included 18 companies.

🛡️Military expert Mykhailo Samus reflects on 100 days of Russia’s war in Ukraine (17.5-min read)

June 3 marks the hundredth day of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Meduza’s sources say that the Kremlin is trying to play down this fact, but Russian officials continue to assure that everything is going to plan. After three months of intense fighting, Russian forces have managed to occupy large swaths of the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions in southern Ukraine, but were driven out of the Kyiv region. In mid-April, Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov announced that the “second stage” of the invasion was underway. This bloody “battle for the Donbas” remains ongoing.

Throughout the invasion, the Ukrainian army has not only defended the country, but also launched counter offensives. For insight into what these 100 days of all-out war have meant for Ukraine and its armed forces, Meduza turned to military expert Mykhailo Samus from the Kyiv-based Center for Army, Conversion, and Disarmament Studies (CACDS).

🎧 The Naked Pravda: How sanctions against Russia reshape the world (27-min listen)

To discuss major developments in the sanctions campaign against Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine, The Naked Pravda welcomed back Dr. Maria Shagina, a political risk analyst and sanctions expert who works as a Diamond-Brown Research Fellow for Economic Sanctions, Standards, and Strategy at the International Institute for Strategic Studies.

🛢️Europe is giving up 90 percent of its Russian oil imports. Will Russia’s economy survive? (11-min read)

On May 31, after a month and a half of negotiations, the EU announced its decision to impose a partial embargo on Russian oil. The embargo’s main purpose, the bloc said, is to cut off “a huge source of financing for [Russia’s] war machine.” In response to the announcement, global oil prices continued to rise. Oil prices have gone up 58 percent since the beginning of the year. And in the four days leading up to the EU’s decision alone, oil prices rose more than seven percent. How does this bode for Russia’s economy and for Europe? Meduza explains.

• Questions asked and answered: What happened? Will European countries stop buying Russian oil? How much oil was Europe importing from Russia? Will Russia really suffer due to the embargo? Does Russia depend more on gas or on oil? How much will Russia ultimately lose? Shouldn’t higher oil prices compensate for Russia’s losses? Will Russia be able to redirect its oil supply to Asia? Is there any way for Russia to work around the embargo? Will Europe suffer due to the embargo? What about Russian gas? Is it possible that the embargo will force Russia to end the war?

⚖️ The story of Pyotr Mylnikov, the first Russian convicted of sharing ‘fake news’ about the war (9-min read)

Pyotr Mylnikov, a business owner from the village of Olovyannaya in Russia’s Zabaykalsky Krai, has become the first person to be convicted under the new law banning “fake news” about the war in Ukraine. The charges were brought after Mylnikov shared two posts on Viber (in a group chat called “We live in ruins”) about the progress of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. On May 31, a court found him guilty and imposed a fine of one million rubles ($​​16,148). Meduza spoke to Mylnikov about the content of his posts, how he was treated during his arrest, and why he decided to plead guilty.

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