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The Real Russia. Today. The fate of the Azovstal POWs, Turkey’s Nordic NATO dealing, and Putin’s choice to make in September: Published: Tuesday, May 17, 2022

In today’s newsletter:

• Latest news
• Being a parent to a missing Russian sailor
• Putin ponders postponing September’s popular voting
• Yandex is selling off its Russian assets, allegedly

Major recent events in Russia and Ukraine

• 🪖 The Azovstal POWs: Kira Rudik, a member of Ukraine’s Parliament who was involved in negotiations about the Azovstal steel plant, told The New York Times on Tuesday afternoon that no mechanism for a prisoner exchange had been hammered out yet. “It is not known how many Russian prisoners of war are currently in Ukrainian custody. Ms. Rudik said she was unsure if Ukraine had enough prisoners to exchange with Russia.” She added that Kyiv received guarantees from the Red Cross and the United Nations that Ukraine’s soldiers sent to Russian territory would be “all right.” Meanwhile, a witness told Reuters on Tuesday that “at least seven buses carrying surrendered Ukrainian fighters left the Azovstal steel works escorted by pro-Russian armed forces.”
• 🪖 Russia’s Azov POWs: As Ukraine wonders about the fate of its soldiers who surrendered in Mariupol, rhetoric from senior Russian lawmakers indicates that Moscow is unlikely to turn over any prisoners identified as Azov Battalion combatants. State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin and International Affairs Committee Chairman Leonid Slutsky dismissed the idea (Slutsky even advocated waiving Russia’s moratorium on capital punishment in the prosecution of Azov prisoners). A third deputy, Anatoly Wasserman, says any captured soldiers with “fascist tattoos” shouldn’t be returned to Kyiv in any prisoner exchange. Additionally, at the Justice Ministry’s request, Russia’s Supreme Court will consider designating (and banning) the Azov Battalion as a terrorist organization on May 26.
• 🗳️ One big family: During a visit to occupied Kherson, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin said the region has “great prospects” and “will take its rightful place in the Russian family.” (On March 16, Vladimir Putin assured the world that Russia had no intention of occupying Ukraine.)
• 🤝 What Turkey really wants: Three senior Turkish officials told Bloomberg that their government plans to block NATO membership for Sweden and Finland unless several conditions are met: recognition for concerns about Kurdish militias, an end to arms-export restrictions on Turkey, re-inclusion in the F-35 advanced aircraft program, and several broader concessions, through the officials also said that “Turkey isn’t looking to bargain over subjects beyond Finland and Sweden’s stances on the Kurdish conflict.”
• ⚖️ No to rubles: Finland’s state-owned energy provider Gasum said on Tuesday that it will take its dispute over ruble payments with Russia’s Gazprom Export to arbitration proceedings.
• 💱 Default doomsday: Washington will block Russia’s ability to pay U.S. bondholders by letting a temporary exemption lapse when it expires on May 25, narrowing Moscow’s capacity to avert default on its government debt, sources told Bloomberg. The Biden administration has reportedly decided against extending the waiver as a way “to maintain financial pressure on Moscow.”
• ☎️ They got Dubya: Russian pranksters “Vovan and Lexus” (Vladimir Kuznetsov and Alexey Stolyarov), known for their pro-Kremlin antics, released a trailer on social media revealing that their most recent victim is former U.S. President George W. Bush. The full video is due out on Thursday, May 19. The duo says it will present the recording at a multicity lecture series that features speeches by senior Kremlin officials.
• ⚖️ No mercy for the antiwar-sticker renegade: A judge in St. Petersburg rejected Sasha Skochilenko’s attempt to challenge her pretrial detention as she’s prosecuted for the felony offense of spreading “disinformation” about Russia’s military (by posting antiwar stickers over price tags at a grocery store). She will remain behind bars until at least May 31.Skochilenko faces 10 years in prison if convicted. A large crowd of people turned out at the courthouse to support her.
• ⚖️ Police corruption: A Russian court added 16 years to the prison sentence of former Police Colonel Dmitry Zakharchenko, who was already serving a 12.5-year sentence for bribery. (The new conviction is for bribery, too.) He’s been behind bars since September 2016.

🪖 Parents of Russian conscripts who disappeared aboard the Moskva still seeking answers one month later (8-min read)

A month has passed since a Ukrainian missile strike sank the Russian warship Moskva. In total, there were around 500 people aboard the vessel, which was the Black Sea Fleet’s flagship. The Russian Defense Ministry has only acknowledged that one sailor was killed, while claiming that another 27 are missing. On condition of anonymity, the mother of a conscripted sailor who disappeared aboard the Moskva told Meduza about her month-long battle with the Russian authorities for information about her son.

🗳️ Kremlin infighting and the war in Ukraine will determine if Putin cancels Russia’s elections in September, sources tell Meduza (5-min read)

On May 17, lawmakers in the State Duma discussed the possibility of cancelling both gubernatorial and regional and municipal elections scheduled for September 11, 2022. The stated reason is the need to support the president unanimously during Russia’s “special military operation” in Ukraine. Meduza special correspondent Andrey Pertsev learned that Vladimir Putin has yet to reach a final decision about postponing the elections, but the Federal Security Service and National Security Council are lobbying hard to convince him that it’s crucial.

💰 Yandex is looking to sell Russian assets, sources tell Meduza. The company says otherwise. (3-min read)

Internet giant Yandex is looking for buyers for its Russian assets Yandex Search, Yandex.Mail, and the movie database Kinopoisk, a source close to the company’s co-founder Arkady Volozh told Meduza. This was corroborated by another source close to the company’s management. According to the source close to Volozh, Sberbank and Rostec are being considered among other potential buyers. The source close to Yandex’s management had also heard about Rostec’s interest in these assets.

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